The long-term prediction of the oil-contaminated water from the Sanchi collision in the East China Sea

YIN Liping; ZHANG Min; ZHANG Yuanling; QIAO Fangli

doi:10.1007/s13131-018-1193-5

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Article Navigation > Acta Oceanologica Sinica > 2018 > 37(3): 69-72

YIN Liping, ZHANG Min, ZHANG Yuanling, QIAO Fangli. The long-term prediction of the oil-contaminated water from the Sanchi collision in the East China Sea[J]. Acta Oceanologica Sinica, 2018, 37(3): 69-72. doi: 10.1007/s13131-018-1193-5

Citation:

YIN Liping, ZHANG Min, ZHANG Yuanling, QIAO Fangli. The long-term prediction of the oil-contaminated water from the Sanchi collision in the East China Sea[J]. Acta Oceanologica Sinica, 2018, 37(3): 69-72. doi: 10.1007/s13131-018-1193-5

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The long-term prediction of the oil-contaminated water from the Sanchi collision in the East China Sea

doi: 10.1007/s13131-018-1193-5

1.
The First Institute of Oceanography, State Oceanic Administration, Qingdao 266061, China;Laboratory for Regional Oceanography and Numerical Modeling, Qingdao National Laboratory for Marine Science and Technology, Qingdao 266237, China;Key Laboratory of Marine Science and Numerical Modelling, State Oceanic Administration, Qingdao 266061, China
2.
The First Institute of Oceanography, State Oceanic Administration, Qingdao 266061, China;Laboratory for Regional Oceanography and Numerical Modeling, Qingdao National Laboratory for Marine Science and Technology, Qingdao 266237, China;Key Laboratory of Marine Science and Numerical Modelling, State Oceanic Administration, Qingdao 266061, China;Key Laboratory of Data Analysis and Applications, State Oceanic Administration, Qingdao 266061, China

Received Date: 2018-01-23

Abstract

Abstract

The condensate and bunker oil leaked from the Sanchi collision would cause a persistent impact on marine ecosystems in the surrounding areas. The long-term prediction for the distribution of the oil-polluted water and the information for the most affected regions would provide valuable information for the oceanic environment protection and pollution assessment. Based on the operational forecast system developed by the First Institute of Oceanography, State Oceanic Administration, we precisely predicted the drifting path of the oil tanker Sanchi after its collision. Trajectories of virtual oil particles show that the oil leaked from the Sanchi after it sank is mainly transported to the northeastern part of the sink location, and quickly goes to the open ocean along with the Kuroshio. Risk probability analysis based on the outcomes from the operational forecast system for years 2009 to 2017 shows that the most affected area is at the northeast of the sink location.
- Sanchi collision,
- long-term prediction,
- oil spill

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References

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