Predictability of the upper ocean heat content in a CESM ensemble prediction system

Ting Liu Wenxiu Zhong

Ting Liu, Wenxiu Zhong. Predictability of the upper ocean heat content in a CESM ensemble prediction system[J]. Acta Oceanologica Sinica. doi: 10.1007/s13131-023-2239-x
Citation: Ting Liu, Wenxiu Zhong. Predictability of the upper ocean heat content in a CESM ensemble prediction system[J]. Acta Oceanologica Sinica. doi: 10.1007/s13131-023-2239-x

doi: 10.1007/s13131-023-2239-x

Predictability of the upper ocean heat content in a CESM ensemble prediction system

Funds: the National Key R&D Program of China under contract No. 2020YFA0608803, the Scientific Research Fund of the Second Institute of Oceanography, MNR No. QNYC2101, the National Natural Science Foundation of China under contract No. 42105052; the Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Zhuhai) under contract No. SML2021SP310, and the Innovation Group Project of Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Zhuhai) under contract No. 311021001.
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  • Figure  1.  Anomaly correlation coefficients of OHC with lead month.

    Figure  2.  Same as Fig. 1, but for persistence.

    Figure  3.  Anomaly correlation coefficients for the area-averaged OHC in the (a) Pacific Ocean, (b) Indian Ocean, and (c) Atlantic Ocean. The “EP”, “CP”, “NP”, “SP”, “SI”, “NI”, “SA” and “NA” represent the eastern tropical Pacific (10°S–10°N, 170°–90°W), the western tropical Pacific (10°S–10°N, 120°–180°E), the northeastern subtropical Pacific (20°–60°N, 180°–120°W), the southern Pacific (20°–60°S, 180°–90°W), the southern Indian Ocean (10°–40°S, 40°–120°E), the northern Indian Ocean (10°–25°N, 50°–110°E), the southern Atlantic Ocean (10°–60°S, 80°–0°W), and the northern Atlantic Ocean (10°–60°N, 60°–0°W), respectively.

    Figure  4.  Anomaly correlation coefficients of the area-averaged OHC with the lead and target months in different oceans. For (a) the western tropical Pacific (10°S–10°N, 120°–180°E), (b) the eastern Pacific (10°S–10°N, 170°–90°W), (c) the northern Pacific (20°–60°N, 180°–120°W), (d) the southern Pacific (20°–60°S, 180°–90°W), (e) the northern Indian Ocean (10°–25°N, 50°–110°E), (f) the southern Indian Ocean (10°–40°S, 40°–120°E), (g) the northern Atlantic Ocean (10°–60°N, 60°–0°W), (h) the southern Atlantic Ocean (10°–60°S, 80°–0°W).

    Figure  5.  Phase-locking features of the area-averaged OHC in different oceans (same as Fig. 4).

    Figure  6.  Potential correlation of OHC with lead month.

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  • 网络出版日期:  2023-10-10

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