Simulations of dissolved oxygen concentration in CMIP5 Earth system models

BAO Ying LI Yangchun

鲍颖, 李阳春. CMIP5地球系统模式溶解氧模拟结果分析[J]. 海洋学报英文版, 2016, 35(12): 28-37. doi: 10.1007/s13131-016-0959-x
引用本文: 鲍颖, 李阳春. CMIP5地球系统模式溶解氧模拟结果分析[J]. 海洋学报英文版, 2016, 35(12): 28-37. doi: 10.1007/s13131-016-0959-x
BAO Ying, LI Yangchun. Simulations of dissolved oxygen concentration in CMIP5 Earth system models[J]. Acta Oceanologica Sinica, 2016, 35(12): 28-37. doi: 10.1007/s13131-016-0959-x
Citation: BAO Ying, LI Yangchun. Simulations of dissolved oxygen concentration in CMIP5 Earth system models[J]. Acta Oceanologica Sinica, 2016, 35(12): 28-37. doi: 10.1007/s13131-016-0959-x

CMIP5地球系统模式溶解氧模拟结果分析

doi: 10.1007/s13131-016-0959-x

Simulations of dissolved oxygen concentration in CMIP5 Earth system models

  • 摘要: 本文基于常用的统计方法,通过与WOA09观测的海洋溶解氧浓度数据进行比较,定量地评估了9个CMIP5地球系统模式在历史排放试验中海洋溶解氧气候态特征的模拟能力。在海表,由于地球系统模式均能很好地模拟海表温度(SST),模式模拟的海表溶解氧浓度分布与观测一致,模拟结果无论是全球平均浓度偏差还是均方根误差均接近0,空间相关系数与标准偏差接近1。在海洋中层以及深层这些重要水团所在的区域,各模式的模拟能力则差异较大,尤其在溶解氧低值区(OMZs)所在的500m到1000m,各模式均出现全球平均偏差、均方根误差的极大值以及空间相关系数的极小值。在海洋内部,模式偏差的原因比较复杂。经向翻转环流和颗粒有机碳通量均对模式的偏差有贡献。分析结果表明物理场偏差对溶解氧偏差的贡献较大。一些重要水团,比如北大西洋深水,南极底层水以及北太平洋中层水在极大程度上影响了溶解氧在这些海区的分布。需要指出的是,虽然在海洋内部各模式模拟的溶解氧浓度偏差较大,但是多模式平均结果却能表现出与观测较好的一致性。
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  • 收稿日期:  2015-10-19
  • 修回日期:  2016-06-13

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