Maximum sustainable yield of Greater lizardfish Saurida tumbil fishery in Pakistan using the CEDA and ASPIC packages

KALHORO Muhsan Ali LIU Qun MEMON Khadim Hussain WARYANI Baradi SOOMRO Shamsher Hyder

KALHOROMuhsanAli, LIUQun, MEMONKhadimHussain, WARYANIBaradi, SOOMROShamsherHyder. 应用CEDA和ASPIC软件包对巴基斯坦国的多齿蛇鲻(Saurida tumbil)渔业的最大持续产量的初步研究[J]. 海洋学报英文版, 2015, 34(2): 68-73. doi: 10.1007/s13131-014-0463-0
引用本文: KALHOROMuhsanAli, LIUQun, MEMONKhadimHussain, WARYANIBaradi, SOOMROShamsherHyder. 应用CEDA和ASPIC软件包对巴基斯坦国的多齿蛇鲻(Saurida tumbil)渔业的最大持续产量的初步研究[J]. 海洋学报英文版, 2015, 34(2): 68-73. doi: 10.1007/s13131-014-0463-0
KALHORO Muhsan Ali, LIU Qun, MEMON Khadim Hussain, WARYANI Baradi, SOOMRO Shamsher Hyder. Maximum sustainable yield of Greater lizardfish Saurida tumbil fishery in Pakistan using the CEDA and ASPIC packages[J]. Acta Oceanologica Sinica, 2015, 34(2): 68-73. doi: 10.1007/s13131-014-0463-0
Citation: KALHORO Muhsan Ali, LIU Qun, MEMON Khadim Hussain, WARYANI Baradi, SOOMRO Shamsher Hyder. Maximum sustainable yield of Greater lizardfish Saurida tumbil fishery in Pakistan using the CEDA and ASPIC packages[J]. Acta Oceanologica Sinica, 2015, 34(2): 68-73. doi: 10.1007/s13131-014-0463-0

应用CEDA和ASPIC软件包对巴基斯坦国的多齿蛇鲻(Saurida tumbil)渔业的最大持续产量的初步研究

doi: 10.1007/s13131-014-0463-0
基金项目: The Special Research Fund of Ocean University of China under contract No. 201022001.

Maximum sustainable yield of Greater lizardfish Saurida tumbil fishery in Pakistan using the CEDA and ASPIC packages

  • 摘要: 本文应用CEDA(catch and effort data analysis)和ASPIC(a stock assessment production model incorporating covariates)计算机软件包对巴基斯坦国的多齿蛇鲻(Saurida tumbil)渔业的最大持续产量(MSY)的进行了研究,所使用的产量和捕捞努力量数据为1986-2009.CEDA包括了三个剩余产量模型(Fox, Schaefer and Pella-Tomlinson).因为初始产量大约是最大产量的50%,所以初始比例(IP,initial proportion)设为0.5.当IP=0.5,对于正态和对数正态误差分布,Fox模型估计的MSY分别为20.59mt和38.16mt;对于正态、对数正态和伽马误差分布,Schaefer和Pella-Tomlinson模型估计的MSY分别为60.40、60.40和60.40mt.对于三个误差假设Schaefer和Pella-Tomlinson模型估计的MSY相同.这三个模型估计的R2均高于0.6.当IP=0.5,对于Fox模型ASPIC估计的MSY值为132mt,对于logistic模型为69.4mt,其R2值均高于0.8.于是我们建议巴基斯坦国的多齿蛇鲻(S. tumbil)渔业的最大持续产量为60-70mt,这高于最近的产量.所以我们建议这个渔业的捕捞努力量应该维持在目前水平.
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  • 收稿日期:  2013-10-09
  • 修回日期:  2014-03-30

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